{"id":1053025,"date":"2025-05-29T09:53:21","date_gmt":"2025-05-29T13:53:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/democrats.org\/?p=1053025"},"modified":"2025-05-29T09:53:22","modified_gmt":"2025-05-29T13:53:22","slug":"new-report-fed-fears-a-recession-while-predicting-slower-growth-higher-inflation-and-a-substantially-weaker-job-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/democrats.org\/news\/new-report-fed-fears-a-recession-while-predicting-slower-growth-higher-inflation-and-a-substantially-weaker-job-market\/","title":{"rendered":"NEW REPORT: Fed Fears a Recession While Predicting Slower Growth, Higher Inflation, and a \u201cSubstantially\u201d Weaker Job Market"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"449\" width=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Black-Logo-White-Fill-For-Email.png?w=1024\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1050776\" srcset=\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Black-Logo-White-Fill-For-Email.png 1101w, https:\/\/democrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Black-Logo-White-Fill-For-Email.png?resize=300,132 300w, https:\/\/democrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Black-Logo-White-Fill-For-Email.png?resize=768,337 768w, https:\/\/democrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Black-Logo-White-Fill-For-Email.png?resize=1024,449 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Donald Trump\u2019s failing agenda is <a href=\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/news\/from-sofas-to-shoes-trumps-agenda-keeps-raising-prices\/\">skyrocketing<\/a> prices, plummeting an already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2025\/05\/25\/labor-market-jobs-college-graduates-economy-trump\">\u201crocky\u201d<\/a> job market, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/05\/27\/business\/trumps-china-tariffs-small-businesses.html\">decimating<\/a> small businesses, and costing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/economy\/walmart-cut-about-1500-corporate-jobs\">thousands<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/autos-transportation\/volvo-cut-up-800-us-jobs-trumps-tariffs-bite-2025-04-18\/\">Americans<\/a> their jobs \u2014 and it\u2019s set to get worse. Federal Reserve officials at their last meeting predicted a high probability of a recession, higher inflation, and a drastically weaker job market. It\u2019s no surprise Americans are overwhelmingly rejecting Trump\u2019s failing \u201cbillionaire-first\u201d agenda.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NEW REPORT: Federal Reserve officials at their last meeting predicted slower growth, higher inflation, and a \u201csubstantially\u201d weaker job market, while fearing a recession.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-05-28\/fed-well-positioned-to-wait-for-clarity-on-outlook-minutes-say\">Bloomberg<\/a>: <strong>\u201cFed staff marked down their expectations for economic growth in 2025 and 2026, reflecting the announced trade policies<\/strong>, the minutes showed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201c\u2018The staff viewed the possibility that the economy would enter a recession to be almost as likely as the baseline forecast,\u2019 <\/strong>the minutes said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201cThe staff forecasted the labor market to weaken \u2018substantially,\u2019<\/strong> with the unemployment rate rising above its so-called natural rate this year and remaining elevated through 2027. <strong>Tariffs were seen boosting inflation \u2018markedly\u2019 this year. \u2026&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe minutes also reflected officials\u2019 heightened attention to Americans\u2019 expectations for long-term inflation, as they seek to guard against the possibility that any rise in prices related to tariffs could lead to lasting inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u201c\u2018Almost all\u2019 participants noted the risk that inflation could prove more persistent than expected.\u201d&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>A majority of Americans are rejecting Trump\u2019s failed economic agenda \u2014 and expect things to get worse.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Only <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/harvardharrispoll.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/HHP_May2025_KeyResults.pdf\"><strong>39%<\/strong><\/a><strong> of Americans say the economy is on the right track<\/strong>\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/law.marquette.edu\/poll\/2025\/05\/21\/new-marquette-law-school-poll-national-survey-finds-overall-approval-of-trump-immigration-policies-disapproval-of-handling-of-job-on-tariffs-and-the-economy\/\"><strong>63%<\/strong><\/a><strong> expect Trump to make inflation worse over the next year<\/strong>\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Trump\u2019s approval rating on inflation remains deeply underwater at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin?open=false#%C2%A7the-polls-what-do-the-surveys-say\">-19.7%<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Only <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.ph\/Y9hpa#selection-1331.105-1331.254\"><strong>33%<\/strong><\/a><strong> approve of Trump\u2019s handling of the cost of living<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>###<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump\u2019s failing agenda is skyrocketing prices, plummeting an already \u201crocky\u201d job market, decimating small businesses, and costing thousands of Americans their jobs \u2014 and it\u2019s set to get worse. Federal Reserve officials at their last meeting predicted a high probability of a recession, higher inflation, and a drastically weaker job market. It\u2019s no surprise [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":293,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1053025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-press-release"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NEW REPORT: Fed Fears a Recession While Predicting Slower Growth, Higher Inflation, and a \u201cSubstantially\u201d Weaker Job Market - Democrats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/news\/new-report-fed-fears-a-recession-while-predicting-slower-growth-higher-inflation-and-a-substantially-weaker-job-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Democrats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-29T13:53:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-05-29T13:53:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Black-Logo-White-Fill-For-Email.png?w=1024\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Shelby Reese\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Shelby Reese\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/news\/new-report-fed-fears-a-recession-while-predicting-slower-growth-higher-inflation-and-a-substantially-weaker-job-market\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/democrats.org\/news\/new-report-fed-fears-a-recession-while-predicting-slower-growth-higher-inflation-and-a-substantially-weaker-job-market\/\",\"name\":\"NEW REPORT: Fed Fears a Recession While Predicting Slower Growth, Higher Inflation, and a \u201cSubstantially\u201d Weaker Job Market - 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